Wednesday, October 11, 2006

Lessons from "Dear Leaders Blast" have we learnt anything?

 The news of the week was that of "Dear Leader" having a blast.I summed up the opinion from various news sources (loony left,loony extreme right) and center. What stuck me was there was an underlying unanimity amongst this spectrum on one issue, the role of China in this whole affair,The right and center analysts said that the test displayed the limits to China's influence on the North Koreans and the Left China Friendly newspapers said that the test is a challenge to China posing "strategic" security threat because this will force Japan and South Korea to go nuclear.
At the outset from a regio-centric view,all views look acceptable,but when I tried to analyse the North Korean test with a more Global view with China's role since the 90s,the answers get a bit more complex.
Check out China's role since the 80s when it began modernising its economy.
China began its diplomatic effort at getting raw materials at "whatever cost" from "wherever" and was ready to make deals with "whoever". I dont find it different from any other country including the US,but where the comparision ends is what kind of deals you would make and with whom.
Agreed that China always feels threatend by America,but its a different story altogether that only China does not feel that way but all those countries that have a government that have no balls to go back and ask its people if they think that they should rule again for the next 5 years face the same fear of US. Take for example countries like North Korea (ruled by a madcap and his family). China (Ruled by the Communits who belive that it is their god given right to rule) .Iran (Ruled by the Mullahs,hoping that a Mahdi will emerge). Iraq (Ruled by a dictator). Syria (Ruled by another dicator) the list can continue but what i am trying to imply is that these countries have a fear of America not militarily but a fear of general western values , because the primary western value of Freedom is enough to wipe out all of their regimes.
Post the collapse of the Soviet union China faced a sever period of internal instability,with communism thrown into the dustbin of history and the "civilized" world (I exclude all the Islamic republics) moving towards greater freedom and democracy,The leadership assumed that the next tide would blow them away and it almost did (Remember Tianenmen square).
In order to stay in power the communist rogues are responsible for the pathetic state of affairs in the nuclear world, they offered nuclear technology as a business option to all and sundry.
It offered Nuclear technology to Pakistan , there are some argue that this was done to keep India in check,but that turns out be a joke since Pakistan and India will always be enemies since they belong to two different civilizations (one getting deeper into the 2nd century and the other getting into the 22nd) irrespective of wether they have nuclear weapons or not.
It offered Nuclear technology to the Iranians (It did not bother to ask why do the Irananins need them)
It offered Nuclear technology to the North Koreans ( Yes of course the pakistanis helped a lot, but without Chinas agreement it would not have been possible)
The Lefties argue that the Americans also made deals with rogue regimes,yes I dont refute but they did not offer Nuclear technology to any of them inspite of pressure from the Nuclear lobby. Americans fondly refer to these regimes as "our bastards", but even being their "bastards" one thing was kept away from them i.e. Nuclear technology.
Today we have USA,UK,France,Russia,China,India,Isreal and Pakistan as declared nuclear powers. Undeclared nuclear powers are Iran and North Korea.
Out of these the most likely to use them are the mad mullahs,the pakistanis(U never know who is in control, it could be Allah,America or Army) and the korean madcap masquerading as a "Dear Leader" and it is China which is responsible for all these three getting there.
if (This is a big IF) the "Dear Leader" is allowed to continue from here the next plausible scenario is Japan getting nuclearised (not a difficult task considering its technological prowess and unstinted American support,may be South Korea too but thats a long shot.
Here comes the loony leftist pro-china argument,China loses its stratgic vantage by being surrounded by Nuclear powers.
That argument now simply falls apart,because in reality whats happening has been started,influenced and directed by the Chinese.
You would ask why. Simple I would say.
Look at this how does a government(a bunch of rogues masquerading as rulers)rule without an official mandate from its own people,Saudis cite Islam(as if the ruling Saud family has been given a lease on Saudi state by ....) The egyptian ruler cites Muslim Brotherhood, Syrian gangster cites Isreal,Pakistan cites India,The Taleban cite that the whole world is against them etc etc, as always illigitimate rulers always need an external fear factor and lot of flux in the region surrounding them to stick to power.
When the coutry is poor,bankrupt and populace is either starving or barely surviving the external fear factor is sufficient to keep these regimes afloat, but with a country where economics dominates and education levels creep up,questions will be asked about the "so called external fear factors" so the these regimes need to back up their claims by generating a flux in their regions simply to stay in power.
Simply put civilized countries dont need that,they need "real" development and even in times of extreme duress these societies will not give up their basic right to freedom.
China today is ruled by an illigitimate government, those in power know it,the chinese people know it,the foreign governments who deal with them know it,below their outward boisterousness lurks a very deep fear.
The only way out is to create more fear,more flux more fear more flux,keep preciptating crisis after crisis else when a day comes when there is no conflict around you the people may ask for a change. SIMPLE
Do you know Chinas deepest fear, Bush striking a deal with "Dear Leader" and making him a member of "our bastards"!!!!!!


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